Japan woke a sleeping giant when it bombed Pearl Harbor. The U.S. woke a sleeping giant when it elected Trump President. China.
China was content to stay in third position in world power behind the U.S. and Russia. Quietly doing its dirty work, quietly improving its military, and as best possible keeping itself out of foreign wars.
Russia has limited power today. From a military perspective, an excellent submarine fleet. And of course atomic weapons left over from World War II which it has improved upon.
Were it not for a leader such as Putin, Russia would be of minimal influence in world affairs. Putin has not relented in his quest to return Russia to the power it enjoyed when it was part of the Soviet Union.
Russia at best is in third place power wise.
The U.S. has been the great power. We thought so. The rest of the world also. Or, so we thought.
The truth is the U.S. has steadily and quietly weakened itself militarily as will be described in this blog. In addition to fighting 20 plus years of wars that should not have been our concern. Wars that weakened us. Wars that wasted our monies.
And then, the American people did what few thought possible. Elected Donald Trump President. The U.S. slide downward began with his swearing in. No President has done worse.
In every respect. Even to the coronavirus epidemic. He has blundered his way through it causing more sickness and death than should have been. Weakening the American fiber in the process.
China yesterday began its major crack down on Hong Kong. America normally would do something. Trump silent so far. His problem is neither he nor his immediate staff know what to do. They are incapable.
Trump never the less stands on the dime. Tensions between the 2 nations will grow even worse. Additional sanctions being discussed already.
This is a new Cold War. Similar to the U.S./Russia one. It will go on for years. Each side hopefully not pushing the button that will commence a nuclear Armageddon.
The Cold War will first be felt on the farm fields of the U.S.
Trump has already done serious damage to American farmers. Almost from day one with his sanctions involving China. China has retaliated. Each side continues to do so.
Farmers will get destroyed even more. Most of them from States that supported Trump in the 2016 election. I doubt they will in November.
Relations are already strained between the U.S. and China. Going to be for a long time. Twenty years at least from my way of thinking.
As with the U.S./Russia Cold war, both the U.S. and China must be ready militarily to strike or retaliate if necessary.
The U.S. to succeed must without question be the stronger of the two. Otherwise the American people will begin fearing Chinese domination as it did during the previous Cold War involving Russia.
During the past 3 years, I have written several times that from a military perspective, the U.S. was not a match for or superior to the newly developed might of China. We were in a difficult place and no one seemed concerned. Including Trump.
David Ignatius is a Washington Post columnist. An expert in world affairs. He recently wrote an article for the Washington Post titled: “Think We Have Military Prominence Over China? Think Again.”
I will be paraphrasing the column. He calls it as he sees it. Hits the nail on the head!
Ignatius wrote the U.S. spends nearly $1 trillion a year on defense. China the U.S.’s primary rival. The U.S. has almost a perfect record over the last 10 years in U.S./China war games. The U.S. has lost every time.
The problem seems to be the U.S. has no “kill chain.” The U.S. lacks the capacity to see threats and take quick, decisive action to stop them.
Washington is blind. The U.S. fails to see the future, does not look to the future.
Ignatius places blame on the government, the Pentagon, and Congress. The government, yesterday and today, depends on the Pentagon to guide it. The Pentagon is excellent in seeing what they did yesterday. Understanding how things were done yesterday. No vision into the future.
Congress equally unable to see beyond the past. It wants things done in a similar fashion yesterday, today and tomorrow.
Everyone stuck in a rut. No future thinking.
The U.S. has been so busy buffing its legacy system that it “got ambushed by the future.” It’s a new world! Especially following the end of the pandemic.
China clearly is determined to challenge the U.S. as the global power. Propaganda wars over the origin of the Covid-19 virus just a warm up for the tests ahead.
China’s approach to the military and the U.S. approach are different.
China’s military is not focused on power. Rather on preventing American domination. China cares not the number of carriers and squadrons of jets the U.S. has. China’s approach is not to build carrier per carrier and plane per plane to compete with the U.S.
China’s way is to dwell on precision weapons. Weapons to prevent the U.S. from mobilizing their forces.
For example, the U.S. builds carriers. China does also, but not as many as the U.S. China instead has developed the DF-21. A missile capable of taking out a U.S. carrier. Referred to as the “carrier killer.”
Missiles cheaper to build and operate than carriers in this regard.
Washington lobbyists are a problem. They represent corporations that build yesterday’s weaponry. They are not concerned with military weapons for tomorrow. That would cost their clients more money to produce. An absorbent amount!
Congress goes along. Appropriates monies for current technology. A President signs the appropriation bill believing the more money spent the safer the U.S. will be.
Ignatius advises the U.S. continues to build for an “outmoded strategy” of “projecting power” rather than arming ourselves to deny “China military dominance.”
Ignatius believes the U.S. needs a “radical rethink” as regards its military. The U.S. has the money, technological base, and the human talent to do so.
What is lacking is the will to change.
Ignatius’ message is it would be foolish to enter a new, post pandemic world with the same military hardware.
It’s the 21st century!
Enjoy your day!